Quarterly Commentaries

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Q3 2020

2020 election preview: focus on the sector impacts

Election uncertainty is high, with polls in question after 2016 and prediction markets recently near even odds, but we believe lack of a strong consensus reduces the risk of a market-dislocating surprise. Thus, we are focused on potential sector impacts of various election scenarios.

Q2 2020

Seeing economic recovery, managing continued risks

There has been a strong pickup in economic activity in recent weeks, which the markets seem to have anticipated. We believe our portfolio positioning balances the potential opportunity from a continued market rebound against ongoing risks.

Q1 2020

Contemplating the shape of things to come

In terms of initial impact, the COVID-19 pandemic may be the greatest economic shock in living memory. For markets, given the damage to date, we believe we may be closer to the end than the beginning of the downturn, and we are seeking to manage risk around the potential inflection point.

Q4 2019

Cautious optimism for 2020

We anticipate positive economic growth and market returns in 2020, though moderate growth faces risks and equity returns are unlikely to match 2019 levels.

Q4 2019

2019 year-in-review

The economic cycle continued to mature in 2019, as U.S. consumption and manufacturing diverged. Headwinds from trade slowed growth abroad, but rising valuations powered strong market returns globally.

Q3 2019

A tale of two economies: consumer vs. producer

U.S. economic growth is likely to remain positive, but below trend, in the near-to-intermediate term, as consumer strength is partly offset by weakness in manufacturing industries. We anticipate continued market volatility in the face of a maturing U.S. economic cycle, economic weakness abroad, and geopolitical uncertainty.

Q2 2019

Easing off the gas, not slamming the brakes

Our outlook for the U.S. remains positive. However, slowing growth, progress already made this economic cycle, and a partially-inverted yield curve demand close attention. As this expansion continues to mature, we believe a mix of economically-sensitive and defensive exposures is appropriate for the environment ahead.

Q1 2019

Late in the game, but not down to the buzzer

Strong equity returns in Q1 were largely a continuation of 2018’s volatility, but moderate economic growth should also continue. We see sector selectivity as increasingly important given this late-cycle backdrop.

Q4 2018

2018 year-in-review

Global capital markets saw a resurgence of volatility in 2018, as rising interest rates and geopolitical risks shook investor confidence. However, broad economic trends remained fairly stable, and the relative returns of various market segments in 2018 largely lined up with our macro outlook.

Q4 2018

Sound and fury vs. sound fundamentals

A range of concerns shook investor confidence and markets in 2018, yet broad economic trends point to continued moderate growth. Our market outlook remains positive, given the disparity between global economic fundamentals and sharply reduced equity valuations.

Connect with us

To learn more about how our proprietary sector-based approach can help you in meeting your investment objectives, please call us at 888.500.9025, or email us at info@westendadvisors.com.